市场规模与中国省区的产业增长

Market Size and Industrial Growth in Chinese Provinces

市场规模和报酬递增密不可分，较大的市场有助于经济的快速增长。我们基于1990-1997年中国省区细分产业数据的研究发现，中国地区产业增长的“中心-外围”趋势加强，但历史产业布局的影响居次要地位。进一步的估计结果证实，国外需求依赖型产业在国外市场规模较大的省区增长较快；较大的本地和地区市场促进了国内市场依赖型产业的增长，但与本地市场相比，来自其他省区的需求的作用并不显著。

Market size goes hand in hand with increasing returns; a larger market facilitates faster economic growth. With disaggregate industrial data of Chinese provinces from 1990 to 1997, we find that the trend of the core-periphery pattern in regional industrial growth has been strengthened, but historical locations only play a minor role. Our additional regressions demonstrate that, industries relying on foreign demands grow faster in provinces with larger foreign markets, and local or regional markets foster the growth of industries that depend on domestic demand. However, demand from other provinces is found insignificant when it＇s being compared with local markets.