“资源诅咒”警示与西藏地区主导产业选择

Warning of"Resource Curse"and the Choice of Leading Industry in Tibet

"资源诅咒"命题对西藏经济和社会发展的警示意义在于:国家主体功能区划分对西藏资源开发形成一个强大的外在约束;高昂的资源开发成本使西藏自然资源的经济价值大大降低;资源开发中浪费和腐败行为使广大农牧民无法从资源开采中得到更多的实惠。本文基于对西藏各产业的资源优势、产品需求弹性、产业关联度、市场需求前景等方面的综合分析,得出的结论是:西藏资源性产业如采矿业、建筑建材业、野生动植物产业等不具备成为主导产业的充分条件,而发展文化产业可以在一定程度上破解西藏"资源诅咒"难题,进而可以作为主导产业加以培育。

The warning significance of'resource curse'to Tibetan economy and social development lies in:the division of national main-body functional areas forms a powerful external restriction to Tibetan re- source cultivation;high cultivation cost of resource greatly reduces the economic value of Tibetan natural re- sources;vast farmers and herdsmen are devoid of practical benefit due to the waste and corruption during the cultivation.Based on the analysis on various aspects,this paper concludes:Tibetan resource industry such as mining,building,wild propagation doesn't have proper conditions to be leading industry,while to cultivate cultural industry in some degree could solve the problem of'resource curse',and could be conse- quently cultivated as a leading industry.