摘要
根据1990～2007年广州、深圳、香港港口、航空物流及三地的GDP和包括港澳在内的大珠三角城市群GDP数据，借助计量分析软件Eviews 5．0进行分析，揭示穗、深、港三地的港口物流、航空物流之间及其与当地和珠江三角洲城市群经济增长的关系，为合理布局珠江三角洲地区港口和航空物流产业、促进区域物流产业与经济增长的协调发展提供科学依据。
Based on the statistics of 1990 -2007 of the port and airport logistics industry and the gross domestic product （GDP） in Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, and city groups including Hong Kong and Macao in Pearl River Delta, the authors analyze by means of the Granger-causality test the causality between logistics industry development in these areas, An analysis is also made of the relationship among the port and airport logistics industries targets each other in the 3 cities with the help of the Econometrics software Eviews5. 0. The cointegartion of logistics industries and economic growth targets, the competitive and cooperative relation of seaport and airport logistics industries in the 3 cities and the different cause and effect between logistics industries in every city and local and regional economy growth have been discussed in this paper.
出处
《广州大学学报（社会科学版）》
2008年第9期45-50,共6页
Journal of Guangzhou University:Social Science Edition
基金
广东省科技计划(软科学)"珠江三角洲城市群可持续发展与物流系统优化研究"(2005B70101102)的子项目
关键词
港口物流
航空物流
经济增长
因果关系
port logistics
airport logistics
economy growth
causality
