随机生产模拟的等效大系统法

Equivalent Large System Method on Quick Probabilitic Production Simulation

对适合于电源中、长期优化规划的快速随机生产模拟的简化计算方法———ＬＮ法作了进一步的研究。该方法因假定负荷随机波动和机组运行容量具有正态分布特性，所以要求规划系统运行机组数较多，从而应用范围受到限制。本文中提出的等效大系统法大大提高了该方法的适用范围，并提高了该方法的计算精度。

Based on the further study on the quick probabilitic production simulation LN-method, which demands that system have a large number of generators, this thesis presents an equivalent large system method, ELS-method. During the use of the ELS-method, the restriction mentioned above will not exist and the calculation accuracy will be improved greatly.