湖州电网电力电量预测

Load Estimation of Huzhou Electric Power System

本文根据湖州市地方国民经济和社会发展情况，采用电力弹性系数法、数学回归分析法、新增投资用电量法和GDP单耗法等4种方法，对湖州电网负荷电量进行了中长期预测．预测结果较为接近，可作为电网中长期规划设计的重要依据．

In this paper, electric coefficient method, mathematical analysis method, new investment power cost method, and GDP cost method are used to estimate the power load of the electric network of Huzhou for a mid-long term, based on the analysis for the development of the economy and society condition of Huzhou. The four results are close to each other, and can be used as an important reference for mid -long term plans of electric networks.