广西壮族自治区计划免疫预测及黄牌警告机制对麻疹发病影响分析

Affect of EPI Forecast and Yellow Card Warning Mechanism of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region on Measles

目的评估广西壮族自治区1998-2007年麻疹流行病学特征,分析实施计划免疫预测及黄牌警告机制对麻疹发病的影响。方法根据法定传染病报告系统疫情资料,逐年计算麻疹发病率和构成比,用Excel统计软件进行分析。结论广西壮族自治区1998-2007年共报告麻疹32 602例,发病率为1.79/10万-13.30/10万,麻疹发病率总体呈下降趋势;3-6月发病数占总病例数的54.59%;≤6岁儿童病例占总病例数的51.37%,仍是低年龄发病模式。结论计划免疫预测及黄牌警告机制对遏制麻疹发病回升态势是有效的管理机制。

Objective This paper assesses the incidence of measles in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from 1998 to 2007 and analyzes the yellow card warning mechanism how to affect measles when carrying out EPI forecast for screening in Guangxi.Methods The results of experiment are based on morbidity materials of disease surveillance at the Disease Prevention and Control Center in Guangxi each year and use Excel tool to count these data of experiment.Results The experiment show the morbidity is from 1.79/100,000 to 13.30/100,000 within 32,602 medical cases,the morbidity was on downtrend.The main onser reason was from March to June,the proportion was 54.59%.From age 0 to age 6 is the highest age of onset based on 51.37%,It shows Guangxi is the model of Low incidence of age based on the morbidity of measles.Conclusions Finally,the yellow card warning mechanism of EPI forecast for screening is a feasible,effective to remove measles.It also has a important reference value for stop morbidity of measles and help the work of EPI forecast for screening.