基于灰灾变预测的“牛鞭效应”解决办法

Solution to"Bullwhip Effect"Based on the Model of Calamity Grey Prediction

简要介绍了灾变灰预测理论,并将此理论用于零售终端企业的库存控制,通过零售商的合理库存预测来减轻牛鞭效应的影响。之后给出实际案例进行了相关的研究和分析,证明灾变灰预测是减轻牛鞭效应的很好思路。

The paper introduces the theory of the Calamity Grey Prediction model, applies the theory in inventory control and warehouse management of retail enterprises in order to alleviate the influence of Bullwhip Effect through rational inventory prediction of retailers and finally shows an example.