影响当前宏观经济形势的主要因素

Major factors affecting current macro economy

2008年以来,国内外的经济形势发生了很大变化,我国宏观调控政策的累积成效开始明显显现,经济增长率开始高位回调。该文认为经济持续升温的态势已经扭转,开始进入下行通道;价格涨幅持续攀高的态势也有所缓解;但国内经济的一些新问题如生产企业所面临的困难、房地产业所面临的挑战以及居民消费的降温值得重视;美国金融问题的发展及其对中国的影响需充分估计;最后文章认为只要把握好宏观经济政策的力度和调节的时机,我国就能够继续保持经济平稳较快发展的总体态势。

Great changes have taken place in the economic situation both at home and abroad; China＇s macro economic structuring policies have taken effect remarkably; and economic growth rate has declined from high levels. According to the author＇s findings, China＇s economy has reversed its overheated trend and entered a downward path while the intensifying price growth has eased. The paper suggests importance should be attached to some new issues in the domestic economy, such as difficulties in the manufacturing sector, challenges facing the real estate industry and the retreat in household consumption. Also, developments in the US finance market and its impact on China must be taken into full consideration. As for the future, the author believes that China＇s economy can maintain its momentum of stable and comparatively rapid growth if the country can ensure proper strength and timing in its macro-economic policy and regulation.