我国区域经济增长收敛的计量分析

The Quantitative Analysis on Regional Economic Growth and Convergence in China

本文利用区域面板数据,对1979—2006年我国区域经济增长的收敛性进行了计量分析。研究结果表明,改革开放以来我国区域经济增长不存在绝对收敛趋势,但东、中、西部三大经济带基本上存在收敛趋势,形成了所谓的"收敛俱乐部"现象;在条件收敛回归中,如果控制了投资率、人力资本水平、非国有化水平、对外开放度、基础设施水平和产业结构等经济变量,我国区域经济增长则呈现显著的条件收敛。

Using the Panel data, this paper analyzes regional economic growth and convergence in China during 1979 2006. The result shows that there isn＇t the convergence trend in regional economic growth in China since Reform and Openning;however,there exists the so called con vergence clubs in east,central and west regions of China;in the regression of conditional convergence,if some economic variables such as investmere rate, human capital level.level of non-state, economic opening degree, level of infrastructure and industrial structure are controlled,China＇s regional economic growth will take on the obvious conditional convergence.