产业内贸易决定因素——基于我国装备制造业的静态面板数据

Determinants of Intra-industry Trade—Based on the Static Panel Data Analysis of China's Equipment Manufacturing

本文利用F-F指数计算了我国制造业产业内贸易水平,结果显示产业内贸易处于较高水平并且呈上升趋势。对指数进行分解可以看出:垂直型产业内贸易虽然下降但仍处于主导地位;水平型产业内贸易在上升,说明我国装备制造业目前还处于加工贸易的低端,但在不断提升国际分工地位。对产业内贸易决定因素的实证研究显示,要素禀赋及其变化是引起产业内贸易变动的主要因素,而外商直接投资、规模经济和产品差异三个因素的影响很微弱,这表明我国装备制造业扩张的基础是比较优势且主要集中于产业链低端。

Using F-F index, this paper analyses the intra-industry trade of the equipment manufacturing in China from 1999 to2006. The results show that liT is at a relatively high level and tends to increasing. Dividing intra-industry trade into horizontal and vertical liT reveals that vertical IIT are the leading sector. The paper uses industry-specific panel data approach to test. And the results show that factor endowment is the main factor. The influence of FDI, economies of scale and product differentiation was weak. This suggests that the expanding basis of equipment manufacturing is comparative advantage, and it focus on the low-level of industrial chain.