我国人口城市化水平与经济增长的关系分析——基于面板数据的实证分析

Analysis on the Relationship between China's Urbanization and Economic Growth——An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data Model

文章主要利用我国30个省、市、自治区从1978—2006年的相关数据,运用面板数据模型及相关检验方法,对我国人口城市化水平与经济增长的关系进行分析,得出人口城市化水平长期决定经济增长,但经济增长却没有长期决定人口城市化水平的发展的结论,同时对全国和东、中、西部地区分别提出提高人口城市化水平的政策建议。

The paper mainly applies panel data model and related test methods to analyze the relationship between China＇s urbanization and economic growth by using panel data of thirty provinces of China from 1978 to 2006. According to our analysis, it concludes that China＇s economic： growth is dependent on urbanization in the long run, whereas China＇s urbanization is not dependent on economic growth. At last, we put forward some suggestions on how to improve urbanization.