民航客运量的因素分析与预测

Research on Factors Influencing the Number of Civil Aviation's Passengers by Regression Analysis Theory

通过研究民航客运量的影响因素这一实际例子,展示回归分析在实际中的应用。通过对民航客运量与铁路客运量、民航航线里程、入境旅游人数和国民总收入间的分析,建立多元及一元线性回归分析模型,对民航客运量的影响因素做了相关分析,最终找出影响最大的因素。

This paper takes ＂research on factors influencing the number of civil aviation＇s passengers＂ as an example to show the utility of regression analysis in a concrete practice. By analyzing related information on the comparison among the number of civil aviation＇s passengers, the number of train＇s passengers, mileage of civil aviation routes, the number of tourists from foreign countries and gross na- tional income, this paper builds simple and multivariate linear model, as well as analyzes the factors that influence the number of civil aviation＇s passenger. Among these factors, the paper finds out the most important one. Finally, the paper predicts the number of civil aviation＇s passengers in 2006 by simple linear model.