摘要
随着经济迅速发展和工业化进程的加快。人水矛盾日益尖锐,水源地水质污染、水量衰竭已成为一个全球性问题,加之频繁发生的水源地突发性事故,致使区域发展、国家安全乃至人类生存受到严重的威胁。通过集中式饮用水水源地安全风险分析,明确饮用水水源地内涵,从一般的安全预警体系出发建立了饮用水水源地安全预警逻辑体系;构建了基于DPSR概念模型的水源地预警指标体系框架,建立了BP安全预警模型;最终形成了完整的集中式饮用水水源地安全预警管理框架体系。
With the rapid economic development and industrialization expansion, the contradiction between the human being and water resources is increasingly acute. So water pollution and water exhaustion have become a global problem. In addition, the sudden accidents occur frequently in water source area which seriously threat regional development, national security and human survival. This paper makes clear the connotation of source area of drinking water by risk analysis of water source area of centralized drinking water. In the terms of general safety warning system, the logical safety warning system for water source area of drinking water is worked out and the framework of forewarning index system for water source area of centralized drinking water based on DPSR ( Driving forces-Pressure-State-Responses) conceptual model is constructed and BP (Back Propagation Calculation) safety early warning model is established, forming a complete management framework of safety warning system for water source area of centralized drinking water.
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
2008年第4期21-24,共4页
Journal of Catastrophology
基金
南京市财政专项资金项目(2007527313)
关键词
集中式饮用水水源地
安全
预警系统
预警模型
water source area of centralized drinking water
safety
warning system
warning system model