陕西未来15年地震灾害损失预测研究

Study on Earthquake Disaster Losses of Shaanxi Province in the Forthcoming 15 Years

依据人口、GDP及其随时间的增长等基础数据以及全国破坏性地震资料统计建立的易损性矩阵关系,在陕西及邻近地区地震危险性预测结果的基础上,利用基于宏观经济指标的地震灾害损失预测方法,以0.1°×0.1°的网格单元对陕西省未来15年的地震灾害损失进行了预测研究。

Based on seismic risk prediction of Shaanxi province and its vicinities and matrix relation of seismic vulnerability established by statistical analysis of nationwide destructive earthquakes, the earthquake disaster losses in Shaanxi province by 0. 1°×0. 1° grid units in the forthcoming 15 years are studied with population, GDP basic data and the macroeconomics-based prediction method of earthquake disaster loss.