江西省财政支农与农民纯收入的动态关系分析

The Analyses about Dynamic Relationship between Financial Support Agriculture and Farmers' Net Income of Jiangxi Province

文章运用1980-2006年江西省的相关时间序列数据,采用VAR模型的脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法,从财政支农总量结构各部分分析了江西省财政支农与农民纯收入的关系。实证分析结果表明:江西省财政支农总量没有成为农民收入增长的关键因素,主要是由于财政支农中的农业科技三项费用支出和支农支出正向冲击对农民收入均具有正的长期效应,且其支出比重较低;而财政支农中的农业基本建设支出对农民纯收入影响不明显,但其支出比重较高。

Using the relevant time-series data of Jiangxi province from 1980 to 2006, using the impulse response function and variance decomposition method of VAR model, analysis relationship between financial support agriculture and farmers＇ net income of Jiangxi from the total financial support agriculture. Empirical analysis shows that： financial support for agriculture in Jiangxi province did not form the key factor of the total income of the farmers growing, mainly due to agricultural science and technology costs and agriculture spending of financial support agriculture have the long term effects on the income of the farmers, and its costs have a low proportion; agricultural capital expenditures of financial support for agriculture have a little impact on Farmers＇ net income, and its costs have a high proportion.