中国人口预测及影响因素分析

The Prediction of China's Population and the Analysis of Affect Indicators

从中国的实际情况和人口增长的特点出发,建立中国人口增长的数学模型,并由此对中国人口增长的中短期和长期趋势做出预测,同时采用相对误差准则和残差平方和准则对预测的数据进行了分析。

This paper establishes a model of Chinas increasing population based on the character of population increase and specific situation in China. Applying this model, we make a prediction about the trend of the increase of China＇s population in short-term as well as long-term. Two methods Of relative error criteria and residual sum of squares are used to analyze predicted data.