摘要
提出世界石油产量到达高峰是后石油时代到来的标志;归纳了世界石油产量何时到达高峰存在的不同观点;通过分析世界石油资源的勘探及开发数据,认为世界石油生产的高峰就在眼前,近几年持续升高的油价敲响了后石油时代到来的警钟,高油价已经影响世界经济的发展,而后石油时代到来,石油价格还会继续升高。提出了积极应对后石油时代到来的对策:一是制定积极的价格税收政策,引导理性的石油消费;二是加强节油技术的研究开发和推广应用;三是加大资金投入和开发新技术,扩大石油的资源基础;四是革新石油加工工艺,转变石化原料路线;五是加快生物燃料技术开发,尽早实现规模化生产;六是重现非常规石油资源的开发利用;七是组织好煤制油技术的开发和产业化。
This article states that the post-petroleum era will come along with the peak of the world petroleum output. The author sums up the different views about when the world petroleum output will reach its peak. The exploration and development data analyzed in this article indicate that the world petroleum output will peak soon. The soaring oil price, which has already impeded the world economic growth, has alarmed the forthcoming post-petroleum era which will contribute to further price rise. The countermeasures listed in the article include:
1. Formulate Proactive pricing and tax policies to guide rational oil consumption;
2. Promote the research, development and application of oil-saving technologies;
3. Increase upstream investment and adopt new technologies to find more resources;
4. Develop new oil Processing technologies to find new petrochemical feedstocks;
5. Expedite the development of bio-fuel technologies and realize commercial scale production;
6. Develop and utilize non-conventional petroleum resources;
7. Develop and commercialize the coal-to-liquid (CTL) technologies.
出处
《化工进展》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2008年第11期1671-1683,共13页
Chemical Industry and Engineering Progress
关键词
后石油时代
能源
对策
post-petroleum era
energy
countermeasures