中国服务贸易对经济增长的贡献——基于1982～2006年数据的实证分析

The Contribution of Service Trade to Economic Growth:An Empirical Study based on China's Data from 1982 to 2006

本文根据出口扩展型总量生产函数模型,利用1982～2006年的GDP、服务贸易进口、出口、进出口、资本投入以及劳动投入的数据,分析中国服务贸易对经济增长的贡献。结论表明,1983～2006年中国服务贸易总体对经济增长的贡献份额平均为18.90%,中国服务贸易总体上对经济增长的贡献较低,其中服务贸易出口对中国经济增长的贡献大于进口的贡献。文章最后得出相关政策建议。

Based on the data of GDP,export of service trade,import of service trade,total volume of service trade,capital and labor input,the paper discusses the contribution of China's service trade to economic growth according to export augmented aggregate production function model.The results indicate that the gross of service trade offers lower contribution to economic growth and the average contribution share is 18.90%between 1983 and 2006.In addition,export of service trade offers greater contribution to economic growth than import of service trade.According to above conclusions,the paper gets some policy suggestions.