劳动力流动替代资本流动的辨析与展望

The Analysis and Prospect of Labor Flow Substituting for Capital Flow

在一国内部由于劳动力流动具有便利性和广泛性,限制了发达地区产业过度集聚后劳动力成本的升幅,导致由发达地区向欠发达地区进行的产业转移(资本流动)被抑制。文章回顾了近年来我国东部沿海地区制造业劳动力成本的相对变化幅度,发现无论与中西部地区还是和其他行业相比,其增速都明显偏慢。在此基础上,文章对"民工荒"、出口转冷等新背景下我国东部劳动力密集型产业资本西进的新态势进行了展望,提出内需市场的充分启动是中西部地区大规模承接东部资本转移的重要前提。

Because the labor flows more conveniently between regions than between countries, it restricts the increase of labor costs in developed regions and causes the restraint of capital flow from developed regions to developing regions, This paper reviews the changes of labor costs in manufacturing industry in the eastern coastal area of China recently, and finds the growth is obviously slowing, no matter compared with the mid - western regions or other industries. On this basis, the paper proposes that capital is flowing from the east to the west on the background of labor shortage and export decreasing. It also proposes that the full development in domestic demand is the important precondition based on which the mid - west regions take over the eastern capital transfer massively.