数学模型在矿产资源供需分析中的应用

Study on mathematical model in mineral resource supply and demand analysis

本文以四川省第二论矿产资源规划为背景,针对以往矿产资源供需分析中采用定性分析存在的局限性,通过对数学预测模型在矿产资源供需预测中的应用分析,主要探讨了灰色系统理论、相关分析等预测方法在矿产资源产量预测中的应用,并结合四川省钒矿、水泥用灰岩的历史产量,对其进行了预测,采用定性分析与定量预测相结合的方法,通过分析发现预测结果较理想,此预测结果与方法,为矿产资源规划的编制提供了科学依据。

This paper take the second discusses about the mineral resource planning in Sichuan as the background, in view of the former Mineral Resource Supply and Demand Analysis which used the Qualitative Analysis that existed the limitation, has mainly discussed forecast techniques such as Grey System theory and correlation analysis which are used to predict the mineral resource rate through analysis mathematics forecast model and method commonly used in mineral resource. And the paper also has carried on the forecast of mineral resource rate according to the historical output of the Sichuan vanadium ore and the cement with the calcareous rock, which uses the qualitative analysis adding the method to the quota forecast. It is discovered that the forecasting result is ideal through the analysis method; this forecasting result and the method have provided the scientific basis for the mineral resource plan＇s establishment.