中国制造业地区分布的比较优势与产业选择风险

The Comparative Advantage Efficiency and Risk of China's Manufacturing Industry

文章以中国各地区制造业的劳动生产率和平均规模来衡量产业选择的效率与风险。在衡量制造业选择的效率与风险时,依据就是看某地区所选择发展的制造业是否遵循了比较优势法则。如果所选择发展的制造业不是比较优势产业,那就形成了产业选择的风险。文章衡量了各地区制造业的比较优势并以此为依据确定了各地区应主导发展的制造业。同时,我们在衡量制造业选择的风险大小时还发现,风险指数较低的地区基本上是分布在要么具有劳动生产率比较优势的地区,要么具有规模经济比较优势的地区。

This paper have measured the efficiency and risk of China＇s manufacturing industry aeeording to the labor productivity and av- erage scale. When a district selects a manufacturing industry aceording to the comparative advantage, the industry will have efficiency. On the contrary , the industry of a district will have risk . This paper have measured the comparative advantage of China＇s manufaeturing industry and defined the leading manufaeturing industry. The districts which have lower industry risk must have the comparative advantage of labor productivity or scale economy.