农业区域经济差异对农业经济增长影响的实证研究——以新疆为例

Research on the Impact of Regional Economy difference on Agriculture on Agricultural Economic Growth: taking Xinjiang as an Example

区域经济差异是影响经济增长的关键因素,这种影响可能是积极的,也可能是消极的。以新疆1988-2004年14个地区的截面和时序数据为例,结合多元统计分析方法、库兹涅茨系数和分形理论,实证分析农业区域经济差异的现状及其影响因素,研究发现农业结构的不平衡、农业资源禀赋等差异导致了农业区域经济增长差距逐步拉大。

As we know, regional economy difference plays an important role in economic development. But, it has both favorable and unfavorable aspects. Taking 14 regions of Xinjiang province as study sample, this paper tries to make an empirical analysis on their agricultural economic differences by using the data of cross section and time series from 1988 to 2004. Some quantitative methods, for example, Kuznetsk Coefficient and Resealrd Range Analysis, are introduced to the study. A few conclusions are drawn： differences of agriculture structure, natural resource etc lead to the further widening gap in Xinjiang＇ s agricultural region.