2008年初肯尼亚政治危机反思

Rethinking of the Political Crisis in Kenya in the Early of 2008

2008年初,肯尼亚政治危机的导火线是奥廷加及其领导的"橙色民主运动"对总统选举结果强烈不满。当年的"全国彩色同盟"解体,并分裂为"全国团结党"和"橙运"两大派,是双方矛盾不可调和的结果。奥廷加的崛起除得益于肯尼亚盛行的族性政治外,同他的改革派面貌和建立小族——地区联合阵线的主张与宣传活动有关。这次危机的解决和大联合政府的成立归因于来自国内外的巨大压力。非盟和前联合国秘书长科菲.安南发挥了关键性的调停作用。大联合政府面临宪法改革、土改等诸多问题,但双方为了各自的既得利益,取得进一步的妥协是可能的。

The incident that touched off Kenya's political crisis in early 2008 was that the 'Orange Democracy Movement' leaded by Odinga who expressed strong disagreement on presidential election.The 'National Color League' before breaking into two parties:'National unite Party' and 'Orange Movement',which was the result of the constrictions between government and Odinga.The rise of Odinga power was that he got the benefit from the popular racial politics in Kenya,and he also got help from his reform image and suggestion to establish union within small races-regional united lines.The resolution of the crisis and the establishment of grand unite government in Kenya was due to the huge presses from both internal and abroad.The efforts from the Africa Union and former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan also played key roles.The grand unite government in Kenya will face all problems such as constitutional and land reforms,and in order to maintain their interests,it's possible for parties to reach further agreements.