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试析俄格冲突的战略内涵 被引量:4

A tentative analysis of strategic connotations of Russia-Georgia conflict
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摘要 俄格冲突是九一一事件之后的又一历史性事件,意味着"冷战后时代"的一个重要转折。它证明了俄罗斯的强势崛起及其国际战略观的显著变化,表明原苏联国家寻求新身份认同的过程还没有完全结束,欧亚地区的新一轮分化还将继续。俄格冲突在一定程度上反映了美国全球控制力正在下降,欧洲难以完全整合,北约处境尴尬。俄格冲突在一定程度上展现了"无极"秩序可能导致的混乱和"国际管理真空",凸现了"双重标准"对国际法原则的严重冲击。能否就国际安全、世界经济和全球稳定做出合理安排,挑战着国际战略家的智慧与意志。俄格冲突的背后是激烈的能源地缘政治竞争,国际能源战略环境将进一步趋于复杂。 Russia-Georgia conflict was yet another historical event after the September 11 incident.It signified an important turn in the post-Cold War era,verifying a remarkable change in the strong rise of Russia and its international strategic outlook,demonstrating the process of states of the former Soviet Union seeking a new identity has not yet completely ended and that a new round of division between Europe and Asia will persist.To some extent,the Russia-Georgia conflict reflects the US global control is declining,Europe finds it difficult to fully integrate and NATO finds itself in an embarrassing situation.To some extent,the conflict demonstrates the chaos and international management vacuum that non-polar order could probably lead to and highlights a severe impact of double standards on international law principles.Whether a rational arrangement can be made on international security,world economy and global stability is challenging the wisdom and will power of international strategists.At the back of Russia-Georgia conflict lies intense energy geopolitical competition and the international strategic energy environment will be ever more complicated.
作者 冯玉军
出处 《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第6期49-52,共4页 Russian,East European & Central Asian Studies
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