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祁连山人工增雨天气模型与预报方法研究 被引量:6

Analysis on the Weather Model and Forecasting Method on Weather Modification in Qilian Mountain
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摘要 利用1993-2004年高空和地面资料,统计分析了祁连山降水环流特征,得出祁连山降水的主要形势为高空冷槽型、西南气流型、西北气流型。预报系统04年业务化以来,增雨条件判断准确率70%,对人工增雨业务具有客观的指导意义,并有助于对增雨效果的检验。 Based on the ,data of aerological and surface meteorological observation from 1993 to 2004, the characteristics of precipitation in Qilian Mountain was analyzed statistically. Results showed that main types of precipitation in Qilian Mountain were cool trough, southwest and northwest air current. Forcast system was applied to operation since 2006. The accuracy reached about 70%, and supplied an objective guiding meaning for artificial precipitation. Which also could be used to analyze the effect of artificial precipitation.
出处 《干旱区资源与环境》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2008年第12期118-121,共4页 Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment
基金 国家科技攻关重大项目"西部开发科技行动"之"祁连山空中云水资源开发利用研究"(2004BA901A16)的资助
关键词 祁连山 人工增雨 天气模型 预报 Qilian Mountain artificial precipitation weather model forcast
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