经济增长与就业率的关系研究--以广州市为例

An Empirical Analysis of Economic Growth and Employment:Taking Guangzhou City for Example

实证分析表明,1978-2006年广州市GDP增长率、就业增长率和就业弹性变化趋势基本上一致,三者之中就业增长率波动的幅度较小,GDP增长率和就业弹性波动的幅度较大。广州市经济增长与就业之间存在长期稳定关系,经济每增长1%,就业增长0.23%。广州市三次产业吸纳就业的能力不同,第三产业吸纳就业能力最强,其次为第二产业;第一产业劳动力随着经济增长逐步转移到第二产业和第三产业。

Empirical analysis shows that the GDP growth rate, employment growth and employment elasticity of Guangzhou City in 1978 - 2006 are roughly in the same trend. The fluctuation of the rate of employment growth is smaller, whereas the others are larger. The relationship between Guangzhou＇ s economic growth and employment are in long - term stability. To be specifically, Guangzhoug GDP grows by 1% , and the employment does by 0.23%. The employment absorption of the third industry is the strongest, followed by the secondary industry. The labor force from the primary industry has shifted to the second and third industries as economic grow gradually.