煤与瓦斯突出预测敏感指标确定方法研究

Sensitivity Index Research on Coal and Gas Outburst Forecasting

根据模糊聚类数学分析方法将淮南潘集3个矿突出预测和效检指标进行无量纲化与标准化分析,将不同量的预测指标转化成可相互比较的值,然后根据相似矩阵理论建立相关模型,进行模糊相似转换、聚类,得出1个能够确定不同矿井不同预测指标的敏感性模型,模型经过数学化模糊聚类处理,得出潘集矿区3个矿所采用的敏感指标体系的敏感度,并与实际相吻合。此种分析方法分析的指标敏感度在现场生产中起到了较好的指导作用,可以用于煤与瓦斯突出预测敏感指标的确定应用。

Huainan Panji three mines coal and gas outburst forecasting and the effect will examine the index according to the fuzzy clustering mathematical analysis method to carry on the zero dimension and the standardized analysis, the commensurability forecast index will not transform the value which might compare mutually, then the basis similar matrixs theory establishment correlation model, will carry on the fuzzy similar transformation, the cluster, will obtain sensitive model which is able to determine the different mine different forecast index, The model after mathematization fuzzy clustering processing, obtains the sensitive index system sensitivity which Panji mining area three mines use, and with actual tallies. This kind of analysis method analysis the index sensitivity played the good instruction role in the scene production, might be applied in the coal and gas outburst forecast sensitive index.