应用普查法估计某市暗娼基数的研究

Applications of census method for estimating the population size of commercial sex workers in a city

目的探索普查法在暗娼基数估计中的应用,并对某市暗娼基数进行估计。方法绘制全市暗娼活动场所的分布图,累计业主汇报的暗娼数;在场所中抽取20%的样本,由调查人员进行人数的清点,根据调查的数量和业主报告的数量对业主报告的总数进行调整,估计全市暗娼的基数。结果用普查法估计全市暗娼人数为18 702。结论运用普查法对暗娼人数进行估计较为简单直接,结果较为可靠,但该方法要求调查人员对区域内涉性场所较为熟悉。

Objective To study the application of census method in estimating the size of population of commercial sex workers （CSW）, and estimatie the size of population in CSW in a city. Methods Drawing the map of the place which applied sex service, collect the number of CSW which the manager of place report. Sample 20% place of total,check the amount of all CSW, then adjust the sum of managers reported according the number of investigator checked and the number of manager reported to estimating the size of population in CSW in the city. Results The result of census in estimating the CSW in the city was 18 702. Conclusions It is simple and direct to estimate the size of population in CSW by applying the census method. The result is reliable, but the method need the investigators know very well the palce applied sex service in the area.