摘要
将灰色系统观测模型(GM(1.1)与马尔柯夫链相结合,分析了浙江省柑桔产量的时间序列,采用加权平滑法处理原始数据,对今后几年浙江省柑桔总产量进行了观测.
Combined GM(1.1)with Markov method,it is analyzed that the data of citrus yield in Zhejiang province and forecasted the future yield value the original data were made better by weight -smoothing way,and then the precision of forecasting was improved.
出处
《农业系统科学与综合研究》
CSCD
北大核心
1998年第1期45-46,共2页
System Sciemces and Comprehensive Studies In Agriculture
关键词
模型
马尔柯夫链
预测
柑桔总产
GM(1,1)model, Markov chain,Forecasting, Citras yield
