中国对外直接投资宏观绩效的实证研究——以外汇储备为例

An Empirical Study on the Macro Performance of Chinese FDI

根据中国对外直接投资绩效评价体系,收集了1980～2007年中国对外直接投资有关宏观经济数据,利用单位根检验、协整检验、向量误差修正理论、Granger因果检验等方法,分析了中国对外直接投资对外汇储备的影响。研究结果认为,对外汇储备具有显著的短期负面影响,长期影响不显著。

In the paper,it proposed the principles,the specific contents and approaches concerning the accoplishment evaluation on chinese FDI.By using the unit algebraic equation solution test,maladjustment model,granger test metods,it examined the macro performance,showed that the performance of foreign exchange is not remarkable.