如何“拍脑袋”决策——对直觉决策的理论总结和实践建议

How to "Clap Your Head" to Make Decisions

通过对比国内外的文献资料,较为全面地论述了直觉决策的理论和实践问题。其主要的贡献如下:根据直觉的深层次含义提出了直觉决策能力能否培养的问题;抽象出决策的一般性影响因素;回顾直觉决策研究的重要进展,并对伯克和米勒提出的直觉决策的五大内在要素理论进行了补充,添加了外在的环境影响因素,形成了系统的观点和理念模型;以此理论为依据分析出了直觉决策的特点和培养直觉决策能力的八大方法,其中引用了人的生理、心理和认知方面的最新科研成就;总结了直觉决策失败的原因,并结合全面质量管理理论提出了直觉决策质量控制问题和简要措施。

Compared with the related literatures, the paper had a more complete discourse on the intuitive decision-making theory and the practice. And the main contributions were following as：by the deep meaning of the intuition, a question that whether the intuitive decision-making ability could be improved had been brought up;had an abstract for the universal factors influencing decision-making process, and looked back the great evolvement of studying intuitive decision-making, a complement of their theory had been made.Considering the environmental as an exterior influencing factor with the five internal factors influencing decision-making process mentioned by L.A.Burke and M.K.Miller, therefore a systemic approach and conceptual model was formed.According as the new theory above, following works had been done：it analyzed the characteristics of intuitive decision-making processes and presented the eight methods for improving the intuitive decision-making abilities by citing R＆D conclusion on hominoid physiology, psychology and cognition; summarized the reasons for the intuitive decision made unsuccessfully;brought up the problem about the quality control for the intuitive decision-making, and had some measures for that, based on the contents of TQC.