摘要
大多数天然气需求的定量分析可划分为横断面法和时间序列法两种类型,而计量经济学方法则结合了以上两种方法的优点,能构造出比单独使用横截面数据或时间序列数据更为真实的行为方程。目前国外在天然气需求计量经济模型方面有了许多的理论分析成果,而我国还未认识到其在天然气需求模拟方面的应用意义。文章总结天然气需求计量经济学模型的一般形式和求解步骤,以期对计量经济学方法在天然气需求模拟中的合理应用提供借鉴。
Most quantitative analyses of natural gas＇s demand are divided into two types of models： cross sectional and time series. However econometric method merges these two approaches to maximize their relative benefits, which is more accurate behavior equation. Presently econometric analysis has dominated much of the foreign literature about natural gas＇s demand modeling while the application significance hasn＇t been valued in our country. So the general forms and construction steps of econometric model of natural gas＇ demand are summarized with a view to econometric methods in natural gas demand in the reasonable application of reference
出处
《上海煤气》
2008年第6期25-27,31,共4页
Shanghai Gas
关键词
计量经济
天然气
模型
应用
econometric, natural gas, model, application
