耕地利用变化与人文驱动因素的灰色关联分析——以襄樊市为例

Grey relational analysis on the cultivated land change and its human driving forces——a case study of Xiangfan city

根据襄樊市1994年～2005年的耕地利用统计数据，利用Excel和Arcview3．3软件分析耕地利用的时空动态变化，并采用灰色关联方法揭示促使襄樊市耕地利用变化的人文驱动因素．结果表明：人口迅猛增长、经济快速发展和城市化水平不断提高是促使襄樊市耕地利用变化的主要人文驱动因素．

According to the statistical data of cultivated land from 1994 to 2005, the dynamic of cultivated land use in spatial-temporal changes is analyzed in Xiangfan city with the support of Excel and Areview3. 3, and the human driving forces of the cultivated land change are revealed by the Gray Correlation analysis method in this paper. The results show that the main human forcing of cultivated land changes are the accelerating growth of population, the rapid economic development, and the continuous progress of urbanization in Xiangfan city.