国内成品油市场回顾及1998年展望

Review of Domestic Oil Products ' Market and Prospects For 1998

1997年我国国民经济出现良好的发展势头,国内成品油需求呈上升趋势,预计需求总量将达到8800万吨左右,比1996年增加540万吨,增长6.5％。1997年,国内汽油市场供需相对平稳,市场价格变化不大,无铅汽油和高标号汽油的推广有了长足的进步;受国际市场价格下降、进口失控、非正规渠道走私冲击等因素的影响,柴油市场呈现出资源供大于求、价格自高峰下跌后一直在谷底徘徊、库存逐月上升的局面。预计1998年国内成品油市场将呈现出以下特点:市场需求将继续保持增长的态势;成品油流通体制及组织形式将发生较大变革。

In 1997, China's national economy has shown a good growing trend, with its domestic denjand for oil products expected to reach 88 Mt, 5.4 Mt or 6. 5% more than in 1996. In 1997, the domestic gasoline market was relatively stable, with prices varying little, but great advances were shown in the marketing of unleaded and high-grade gasoline. Because of the drop of diesel price in the international market, loss control over diesel import and the impact of diesel smuggling, the supply in the domestic diesel market exceeded the demand, with diesel stock increasing and the price falling from the peak at the year- start to a low level. It is estimated that in 1998 China's domestic oil product's market will featured: market demand continuing its increasing trend, and great changes taking place in the system and organization of oil product' s circulation.