我国经济增长的不同阶段与贡献度考察

Different Phases of Chinese Economic Growth and Its Contribution

从总体和行业两个层面分析各需求成分对我国经济增长的贡献,结果表明,从总体上看,我国经济增长更多地表现为内需拉动型,除投资外,消费需求对总产出增长的贡献显著,而出口在1990～1999年以后的贡献上升;从行业层面上看,同样支持内需拉动的观点,同时不同行业的主导内需因素存在差异,与居民消费直接相关的行业更多地表现为消费拉动,而中间产品行业中投资对产出的贡献更大。

This paper analyses factors of demand which contributes to Chinese rapid economic growth from the perspective of total and industrial output. The result shows that Chinese total output growth is mainly pulled by domestic demand. Consumption has made a significant contribution to output growth. But the contribution of export has increased since 1990＇s. The result is also right in industries. However, the main factors of demands in different industry is distinct. Comsuption contributes more to citizen-comsuption industry, and investment contributes more to semifinished product industry.