基于排队论的反舰导弹突防概率研究

Study on Penetration Probability of Anti-ship Missile based on Queuing Theory

根据水面舰艇对海导弹攻击中作战指挥的需要,提出了基于排队论中随机服务理论的反舰导弹突防概率解算模型。综合研究了目标舰艇编队采用各种手段进行抗击帮助条件下,反舰导弹突防概率的计算问题,并且结合想定装备参数进行了算例分析。为指挥员实施导弹攻击提供辅助决策和量化支持。

Based on the demand of the combat command of surface ships to process missile attacking, this paper brings forward the calculating model of the penetration probability of anti-ship missile based on the random service theory of the queuing theory. It synthetically researches the calculating problem about the penetration probability of anti-ship missile under the condition that object surface ships formation adopt various means to help oppugning mutually, and analyses a calculating example link to supposed equipment parameters. It will provide basis data to the command officer to make decision correctly.