中国进出口贸易对国际贡献的区域性差异分析

Research on the Regional Difference of International Contribution of China's Foreign Trade

本文在对C-D模型和标准贸易理论进一步拓展的基础上,从出口、进口过程中经济要素的不同转移方向的分析角度说明了中国初级产品、工业制成品进出口贸易发展对主要贸易伙伴福利水平的影响及作用途径。基于1985～2006年的相关数据进行了经验分析,揭示了中国进出口贸易对不同贸易伙伴福利水平影响的差异性。从静态角度分析,中国进出口贸易对欧美经济体福利水平提升具有显著的拉动作用,而与亚洲近邻则呈现竞争与合作并存的格局,对其福利水平的影响并不明显;从动态的角度分析,中国进出口贸易,尤其是工业制成品的进出口贸易对主要贸易伙伴居民消费水平的作用呈现持续放大的局面。

On the basis of the extension of C-D model and the standard theory of trade,the paper analyzes the effects and function of China's foreign trade on its main trade partners from the aspects of the different transfer directions of economic factors in the process of export and import.Through analyzing the data from 1985~2004,it demonstrates the differences of China's foreign trade's effects on the different partners' welfare level.From the aspect of static state,China's foreign trade has obvious advance effect on welfare level in Europe and the US,while,due to the condition of combination of competition and cooperation in Asian countries,the advance effect of China's foreign trade is not obvious;meantime,from the aspect of dynamic state,it appears more and more positive effects on the consumption level in these main trade patners.