镇江市斜坡地质灾害的气象条件分析及预报

Weather condition analysis and forecast for the slope geological disasters of Zhenjiang

在分析镇江市1991至2005年斜坡地质灾害的发生与所对应时段降水量和降水强度之间关系的基础上,建立了斜坡地质灾害气象风险度函数;研制出镇江斜坡地质灾害预报预警服务系统,在2006、2007年汛期预报服务中发挥了重要作用。

On the basis of analyzing the relationship between the occurrence of slopes geological disasters and the corresponding periods of precipitation and the intensity of precipitation in Zhenjiang city from 1991 to 2005, this paper builds up a geological disaster meteorological function; meanwhile we also develop a Zhenjiang geological disaster forecast and warning service system, it has played an important role on the flood forecasting service in 2006 and 2007.