海平面上升的风险评估研究进展与展望

RESEARCH PROGRESS AND PERSPECTIVE OF RISK ASSESSMENT OF SEA LEVEL RISE

海岸带是海陆交互作用的集中区域,人类活动密集,面对未来海平面上升带来的影响具有敏感性和脆弱性。评估未来海平面上升对海岸带的风险,具有理论与实际意义。根据海平面上升风险评估研究框架,总结了海平面上升、海岸侵蚀、风暴潮淹没、海水入侵、湿地丧失等方面的研究现状,在此基础上,分析了目前研究存在的不足,并提出了海平面上升风险评估未来研究的关键问题。

Coastal zone is the concentration area of land-ocean interactions.Owing to high population density,coastal zone is sensitive and vulnerable to future sea level rise.It is theoretically and practically important to assess the risks of sea level rise to coastal zone.Based on the research frame of risk assessment of sea level rise,research progresses of the problems caused by sea level rise were presented,such as coastal erosion,storm surge flooding,sea water intrusion,coastal wetland loss,and so on.According to the insufficiencies in current researches,some key problems in future research on the risk assessment of sea level rise are presented.