摘要
采用增长率法对苏北运河10个主要船闸总货物通过量进行预测,运用回归分析法预测典型船闸的货物通过量,对苏北运河沿线航运市场需求潜力进行预测并分析了各船闸的极限货物通过能力.
This article adopts the method of the continuous growth rate to forecast the pass amounts of cargo of the main 10 shiplocks of the north Jiangsu section of Jing-Hang grand canal,and adopts the regression analysis law to forecast the pass amounts of cargo of the typical shiplocks. It also forecasts the potential demand of shipping market of the north Jiangsu section of Jing-Hang grand canal and analyses the utmost through capacity of the main shiplocks.
出处
《河南科学》
2009年第1期98-101,共4页
Henan Science
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(40301014)
关键词
苏北运河
货物通过量
市场需求潜力
极限货物通过能力
预测
north Jiangsu section of Jing-Hang grand canal
pass amounts of cargo
potential demand
utmost through capacity
forecast
