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云阳县人口 - 耕地 - 粮食复合系统现状与未来的灰色理论分析

GREY THEORY ANALYSIS OF THE POPULATION CULTIVATED LAND GRAIN COMPLEX SYSTEM ITS PRESENT AND FUTURE
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摘要 应用灰色系统理论的GM(1,1)模型分别对云阳县人口、耕地、粮食等进行了预测,并对预测结果进行了分析。同时对影响云阳县粮食产量的行为因子也进行了关联分析,提供了解决云阳县人口-耕地-粮食复合系统供求矛盾的若干政策措施。 GM(1,1) model of the grey theory was applied to the forecast of the development of population, cultivated land and grain production in Yunyang county, Chongqing, and the results were analysed. In addition, correlation was made of various behaviour factors influencing grain production in the county. Some countermeasures for solving the contradictions between supply and demand in the population cultivated land grain complex of the county are proposed.
出处 《西南农业大学学报(自然科学版)》 CSCD 1998年第2期151-157,共7页 Journal of Southwest Agricultural University
关键词 耕作土壤 粮食 灰色模型 分析 对策 cultivated soils grains(food) graymodels analysis counter measures Yunyang
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参考文献3

  • 1团体著者,云阳县统计年鉴,1990年
  • 2邓聚龙,农业系统灰色理论与方法,1988年,42页
  • 3叶谦吉,生态农业.农业的未来,1988年,90,332页

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