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锈腹实蝇的定量风险分析 被引量:4

RISK QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS FOR BACTROCERA LATIFRONS(HENDEL) INTRODUCED TO CHINA
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摘要 采用多指标综合评估方法来计算锈腹实蝇的风险程度,确定了各指标的评判标准和等级。根据对锈腹实蝇有害生物风险分析评估量化分析评判指标,建立了一、二级评判标准、等级与赋分值。通过对锈腹实蝇传入中国的风险进行定量分析,计算出锈腹实蝇危险性综合评价的风险值R≈2.293。符合进境植物检疫性有害生物的条件,据此提出了相关的风险管理备选方案,并进行效率和影响评估,以期使风险减少到可接受的水平。 According to pest risk analysis rule, risk degree of Bactrocera latifrons (Hendel) was calculated to establish of criterion and grade in every index by using comprehensive multi - criterion estimation. Calculation model to judge the first grade and the second grade criterion estimation was established on the base of its criterion of PRA assessment and quantitative analysis. Its comprehensive estimation risk value was calculated based on risk quantitative analysis for Bactrocera latifrons (Hendel) introduced to China. The result showed that its comprehensive estimation risk value was 2.33, which has reached the level of quarantine pest of imported plant in china . From the result , the relational optional proposal of risk management was raised and evaluated of efficiency and impact in order to reduce the risk to acceptable level.
作者 黄振 黄可辉
出处 《武夷科学》 2008年第1期44-48,共5页 Wuyi Science Journal
基金 福建省科技重点项目(2005N001) 福建科技重大专项专题(2006NZ0002-1)
关键词 锈腹实蝇 有害生物风险分析 风险管理 Bactrocera latifrons (Hendel) pest risk analysis risk management
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