“台独”社会基础的发展演变与未来走向

Evolutionary Development of the Foundations of Taiwan Independence and Its Future Trend

经过60多年的发展演变，尤其是近20年来李登辉、陈水扁“台独”分裂施政的推波助澜，“台独”势力成为新时期影响两岸和平发展格局、干扰战略机遇期、破坏台海地区和平稳定的重大现实威胁。由于影响“台独”势力发展的内外因素短期内难以根本改变，近年来“台独”社会基础短期内出现崩盘式裂解的可能性虽不大，

Taiwan independence secessionist forces, over their 60- year evolutionary development, and especially in the last 20 years in which the administrations of Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian, emanating their baneful influence in pursuit of their independence agenda, have become the major threat to the peaceful development of cross-Straits relations.