经济增长与环境质量——基于山西省环境库兹涅茨曲线的实证检验

On the Relationship Between Economy Growth and Environmental Quality——The Empirical Study Based on the EKC of Shanxi Province

本文根据山西省1991～2006年经济与环境统计数据,采用6种具有代表性的环境质量指标与人均实际GDP建立了山西省环境库兹涅茨曲线的计量模型,并据此分析了山西省经济增长与环境质量变化之间的关系。结果表明,主要环境指标模型的环境库兹涅茨曲线特征并不明显,各污染排放量与人均实际GDP仍处于同步上升阶段,说明山西省环境质量随着经济增长仍处于恶化阶段。

based on the statistic data of economic and environment in shanxi from1991 to 2006 and the six indexes reflecting environmental quality ,this paper provides the econometric modal of EKC. Based on this ,the paper analyzes the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality change in shanxi, the Empirical result indicates that the characteristics of EKC inverted-U-shaped is not obvious in shanxi province and every discharge of pollutants and economic growth is rising in synchronous stage , which explains Shanxi Province＇s environmental quality is worsening.