浙江省流通产业集群与流通经济增长的实证研究——基于人力资本视角

Empirical Study on Zhejiang Province Circulation Industrial Clusters and Economics Growth

本文对浙江省流通业1990～2006年间的统计数据运用因子分析,得到流通业劳动力、物资资本、人力资本集聚因子时间序列,进而采用计量方法论证了浙江省流通经济增长与上述三个集聚因子间存在着长期协整关系,认为劳动力、物资资本、人力资本集聚因子对流通经济增长具有积极推进作用,而人力资本所起作用最大;浙江省流通经济增长存在着短期动态调整机制,使得一部分偏差能在短期波动后得到自动调整。为此,应从加快提高流通业集聚水平出发,转变政府的角色定位,调整公共支出的方向,重视人力资本投资,提高劳动者素质;加强流通业集群内企业间的关系网络建设,提高人力资本的集聚水平;加强环境和制度建设,以促进集约化经营;提高资源的综合利用水平,降低消耗、减少污染,建立完善的市场诚信体系,促进流通产业集群的形成,推动产业结构优化升级。

Based on Zhejiang Province, using the data of 1990-2006, time series of circulation industrial labour, physical capital and human capital convergency factor are obtained through factor analysis. And further, using quantitative analysis method, the article demonstrates that there exists long-term cointegration relationship between Zhejiang Province circulation industry added value and the three concentration factors. It draws the following conclusions： the circulation industrial labour, physical capital and human capital convergency factor play a positive role for Zhejiang Province circulation industrial economic growth, of which the role of the human capital is the greatest, and there is a short-term dynamic adjustment mechanism in Zhejiang circulation industrial economic growth so that one part of the deviations can be automatically adjusted after the shortterm fluctuations. Regarding this, the article puts forward some suggestions.