中国改革的下一步:变化与选择——第64次“中国改革国际论坛”理论综述

The Next Step on China's Reform: Change and Choice——A Theoretical Summary of the 64th International Forum for China's Reform

当前,一场由次贷危机演化成的金融危机已经在全世界蔓延,并且已经导致全球经济出现衰退的迹象。此时,又值我国处于改革开放30年,面临的国内国际经济、社会问题和环境有许多新的变化。在这种情况下,下一步的改革如何走?如何在全球性的经济衰退的严峻时刻,针对新形势、新环境探索新的改革实践,化解危机,保持我国经济持续稳定增长,具有重大意义。基于此目的,中国(海南)改革发展研究院与德国技术合作公司于2008年11月1—2日在海口联合主办了"中国改革的下一步:变化与选择"国际论坛。邀请部分国内外著名经济学家吴敬琏、迟福林、常修泽、张曙光、秦晖、倪红日、曹远征、汪玉凯、汤敏、左小蕾、沃尔夫刚.S.库恩等就"新阶段改革的趋势与目标"、"国际金融危机与中国宏观经济走势"、"新阶段的市场化改革"、"新阶段的行政体制改革"等当前改革最突出、最急需要解决的现实问题进行了充分的研讨和辩论。此次研讨对于我们思索今后的改革之路具有一定价值。

Currently, a financial crisis evolved by sabprime lending crisis is spreading over in the world, which results in the emergence of the global economic recession. Meanwhile, after 30 years of the reform and opening to the world, China faces a lot of new problems in the fields of international economy, society and environment. Under such a situation, what is the next step on China＇s reform？ And how does China reduce the damages of financial crisis and keep a steady, sustainable growth of economy？ Centering on the above mentioned, on November 1 -2, 2008, in Haikou, the Chinese Academy of Reform and Development and the Deutsche Gesellschaft ftir Technische Zusammenarbeit co-organized a national forum entitled the Next Step on China＇s Reform： Change and Choice. The famous economists present at home and abroad had a full discussion and a hot debate on such urgent questions as the tendency and goal for reform in the new stage, the ＂international financial crisis and China＇s macroeconomic trend＂ , ＂the market-oriented reform in the new stage＂ and the ＂reform of the administrative system in the new stage＂. No doubt, it is significant for China＇s speculation about the reform for the future.