江苏物流产业与区域经济关系研究

Research on Relationship between Logistics Indsustry and Economic Increasing in Jiangsu

指出了物流产业与经济发展关系研究中指标和数据选取时存在的问题,构建了物流产业与区域经济关系的模型,对1990-2007年间江苏物流产业与经济发展之间的关系进行了实证分析。研究发现江苏物流能力X随时间t变化以三次多项式形式增长。江苏GDP与物流能力x之间呈三次多项式关系。物流能力与区域经济之间存在双向因果关系,而且需大力发展江苏物流产业以促进江苏经济增长。

The problems existing in selection of indexes and data while studying the relationship between logistics industry and economy increasing. The relationship model between logistics industry and regional economy is established, and the relationship between logistics industry in Jiangsu Province and the national economy from 1990 to 2007 is analyzed. The result shows that the increase of logistics capacity X is accompnied with the change of time T in the form of three-polynomial and there is also three-polynomial between GDP in Jiangsu Province and the capacity of logistics X. There is an interactive causal relationship between the capacity of logistics and GDP and the logistics industry needs to be developed quickly in order to support the increasing of Jiangsu economy.