武器装备仿真系统可信度评估

Evaluation of Simulation Credibility of Weapon System

随着现代科技的发展和军事的需要,武器装备系统仿真对武器装备系统的论证变得越来越重要,主要作用是节约开支,优化作战性能,进行效能评估等。然而仿真可信度目前还没有很好的评估方法。一个仿真系统如果不知道其可信度如何,往往让人难以接受。根据国内外研究现状,主要讨论了仿真的校核、确认与验收和仿真可信度的关系,同时分析了仿真可信度的概念,并在概念分析的基础上提出了一些常用可信度的评估方法,这些方法在实际应用中具有指导意义。

With the development of modem science and technology and military requirements, Weapon System simulation is more and more important to the definition of Weapon System for saving cost, optimizing warfare performance and evaluating warfare effectiveness etc. However now there is no efficient way to assess simulation credibility, because it is hard to be accepted in practice if the credibility of a simulation system is not known. This paper discusses the relationship between VV＆A of M＆S and simulation credibility, also studies the concept of simulation credibility and gives usual methods for assessing simulation credibility. These methods will play an important role in application.