战时装备损坏率预计方法研究

Study on Estimation of Equipment Damages in Warfare

针对现代化作战条件下装备损坏率预计这一难点问题,运用兰彻斯特方程和可靠性工程理论探讨解决的途径。着眼于影响战时装备损坏的内外部因素,通过定性分析和定量计算,提出一种基于装备可靠性和多兵种作战的兰彻斯特方程的装备损坏率预计方法,并举例验证。该方法将经验计算和模拟计算相结合,满足了未来作战维修保障精确化的需要。

To solve the estimation of equipment damage is.a difficult problem in future warfare, Lanchester Equation and reliability project theory are used to solve the problem. Focusing on the internal and external factors that affect the equipment damages, this paper puts forward the estimation method of equipment damage based on equipment reliability and Lanchester Equation of multi-arms operation by qualitative analyse and quantitative calculation, and illustrates with an example. This method combined the experience calculation with the analog calculation, can meet the need of accurate maintenance support in future warfare.