农地利用结构变化及其社会经济影响研究——以广州市番禺区为例

Study on the Change and Its Socio-Economic Effect of Farmland Structure——Take Panyu District of Guangzhou as Illustration

以广州番禺区2001～2007年来土地利用调查数据及有关社会经济统计数据为依据．利用多元相关与回归分析方法．分析了该区内农用地利用结构的变化和影响因素，结果显示：番禺在研究期内农用地利用结构变化幅度大，耕地、林地减少而园地及其他农用地增加；对各类农用地变化产生显著影响的社会经济因素各不相同，其中经济密度、人口、人均粮食、第一产业在GDP中的比重与农地利用结构变化关系密切，农用地利用结构变化是市场调节和政府调控作用的共同结果。

According to the statistical and survey data of land use from 2001 to 2007 in panyu district of Guangzhou, the paper studies the changes and its social- economic effect of farmland structure using the method of multivariate statistical analysis in panyu. The results show that： in the seven years, farmland-use structure varies range greatness, cultivated land, woodland have reduced while garden land and other agriculture land have increased; Social-economic factors affecting on each farmland-use type conversion obviously are different, the population density, economic density, the grain output per capita, the rate of secondary industry output in GDP play an important roles during the farmland-use type conversion, farmland-use type conversion is the result of the market adjustment and the government regulation.